GayThe example you’ve just given shows us that protectionist and state subsidised market economies were able to out produce feudal ones.
Seriously, this is what every economist professor has to teach undergrads because they don't understand comparative advantage. First of all, protectionism is just retarded. It basically means privileged people in Country X force people around them to subsidize their industry. Or in other words, people living in some arbitrary range around them (determined by the national border) are not allowed to buy goods from further away just because they might face competition (in many cases this is not absolute prohibtion but subsidies which just has the same effect but to less degree). For example EU farm subsidies and agricultural tariffs make it impossible for African farmers to compete against the European agricultural industry, which one of the many reasons Africa is poor.
Comparative advantage shows how
everyone will be better off if there is free trade instead of protectionism. The thought before comparative advantage was that "exports" are bad, which is part of
mercantilism, which itself is just basically creatonism of economics.
GayThis has nothing to say about Marxism and whether or not a socialist government could or could not have produced comparable results.
GayOr at least no more a defence than me claiming that the “Communist” States would’ve overcome their supply problems given enough time. And indeed they probably would have.
Yet in the human history, they have practically never done that. Look no further than Korea. North Korea's gross domestic product per capita is about 1/35th of the South korea. The whole country is so unproductive that it depends on South's food aid. How many decades or centuries are they going to have to suffer?
But historical examples are historical examples. For real analysis you need economic theory. The importance of prices in allocating resources has been understood by modern economists, because people respond to incentives and prices transmit information. I'm sorry but why do you think you know this better than economists? You are no better than some american conservatives who are doing some DIY climate science, thinking they got it
all figured out, stating "there is no climate change".
GayIt’s also pretty ironic that you’re using the ownership of a computer and use of the internet as emblematic of free market superiority, when they were produced by the public sector.
Incorrect. Not single person or entity made a computer. Like anything invented, millions of people had to co-operate for it to happen. Inventions are about small steps. You can read about history of computing, it evolved from applied mathematics, went to mechanical computing. Nazis were involved, companies were involved. It wasn't like first we were throwing each other with dirt, and then we got Intel Xeon's.
GayBefore, of course, allowing the publically funded research to be turned over to capitalists to make private profit out of it.
So they should have kept it hidden or what? Or are you saying that if the government (or maybe some other capitalist?) invents a thing, others are not allowed to use it? (which are patents, which are stupid) So basically, after electricity was invented, we should have shot the person who improved on the idea, and invented AC for more efficient transfer? Or companies who made small innovations on power transformers, cables and generators should have not done those things?
Or are you advocating for royalties also known as
patents? Now you start to sound like corporatist. Patents are just massive economic rent seeking. Wright Brothers didn't invent the aeroplane. Many others were twiddling with the idea, they just improved on the wing, then demanded US government buys their plane, and kept sueing everyone else after that for years. In the end american planes were so backward that US had to buy their planes from France, and US suspended aviation patents for the world war. There're strong economic arguments against patents; two economists: Levin and Boldrin have made
a book out of it.
As far as Internet goes, it didn't come out of thin air either. There are two parts of this argument:
First part is that there would have not been Internet without the government (otherwise, what's the point). Now is that plausible? That is like saying that if it weren't for the Wright brothers we wouldn't have got aeoroplanes. I don't think so. After computing started to evolve, and quality-adjusted prices started to drop (thanks to increase in productivity), it wasn't just government who was connecting computers. In fact lots of companies were having networking solutions, but they were very different from each other. Internet was just a standard model for packet-switching network with several layers, like Intel made Universal Serial Bus and several motherboard companies worked together and formed ATX standard. Or it could have happened by people working
voluntarily together like open source communities, who have made the most popular HTTP server: Apache HTTPD.
Then there is second part. Inventing a thing like Internet or aeroplane does not automatically mean we're downloading movies on 8Mbit connection and flying safely in 5000km. Wrights' aeroplane was just a toy for all practical purposes, it took decades of innovation and increase in productivity to make feasible transportation; small steps. Those who improve on the idea, gain extra profits. Microsoft didn't invent GUI either, but it made the idea of GUI useful. Apple didn't invent the MP3 player either, but it made innovations in that area which made MP3 players popular. Market innovation brought down the quality-inflation-adjusted prices of processors massively down (several thousand percent), increased the propagation speed of networks and so on. This was necessary to make things like Internet possible. The idea of OSI model or TCP/IP-mode lin 1960s was useless because computers were simply
too expensive. If I had a time-machine and went back to early 1800s, I could explain them the idea of an iPhone or Internet. Would do they anything with it? No. The societies back then were horribly poor and capital was primitive. It took two hundred years of increase in productivity to bring the purchasing power for the average people to be able to buy personal computers, and generally build massive amounts of Internet capital (routers, cables etc.).
GayThis isn’t a response to my point, which was explaining why the totalitarian results of supposed Marxist revolutions of old shouldn’t be assumed likely to occur in a current Western Democracy.
Well I didn't say it happens everytime, or that it would happen in the West. I said that it has happened in the past. If we had 100 Nazi states, surely not all of them would go to war or do all the horrible things that German nazis did, but saying that the ideology is not to blame for most of the consequences of those states, is imo. misleading.
GayTo respond to what you’ve said though: How on earth do you get from people complaining about repressive internet censorship to violent revolutions against a form of government power that seeks to mitigate the excesses of private power? The left is actually able to distinguish these different types of “control” unlike you
First of all, you can make all exquisite poems about different "powers" but when you use the monopoly of force, also known as the government, you will have economic consequences. To analyze these affects, you need economic theory.
If you are going to prohibit trade, you are going to have to give government lots more control. How are they going to track private transactions unless they are allowed to spy on your home?
GayAs for the government appropriating all your property; who is going to have their car/home taken away by the government? The answer is people who have about 5 of each. Good luck to your counter revolution if that’s who composes your ranks.
If I took your (let's assume average UK wage) and redistributed it to all people in the world who are more than 5 times poorer than you, how would you think? For example in US, the poorest percentile were richer than 70% of world's population richer than richest 5% of Indians and several dozen times richer than most of the people in developing countries.
In fact redistribution is very inefficient. Let's take Bangladesh for example. If we redistributed their national GDP equally among them, their median daily wage would rise to 4$. Such a redistribution would probably halt all economic growth and possibly cause a recession.
What you fail to realize is that there is always a trade-off with taxing becaus it hurts incentives. The less there is capital accumulation and investment, the less there is economic growth, also known as increase in productivity. This comes from standard growth models. If you tax a person 100% over some margin, then he has no incentives to do any more work. If you tax him 50%, the effect is still strong but to lesser degree. Also higher the taxes, the more there is black job market, and more the government tends to spy on private transactions.
GayWhat right does the state have to implement the myriad laws restricting liberty that we need in order for modern day capitalist systems to function?
Simple property rights are enough. It is the politicians and special interests who want all kinds of laws to fine tune the economy et cetera.
GayYou’ve responded to my question asking you to clarify your position with a video that doesn’t directly seem to address what we we’re discussing. Can you elaborate on what you think’s particularly relevant here please. (I watched from 15:00 onwards)
I was merely pointing out that a KGB agent who lived throught communism saw lots of naïve marxists getting brainwashed and then getting shot by their own people. Those marxists just gave the government (bureaucrauts) all private property and power, and thought it would turn out fine, but like Lord Acton said.
Lord ActonPower tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.
GayWhat right do you have to appropriate land for private ownership? What right do you have to appropriate this planets’ resources for private usage?
There will always be "private usage", only individuals can consume, not societies. I don't have a smart moral philosophy why private property is allowed more than say private discussion without government permission. I suppose I could quote Hoppe's discourse ethics but imo. thats just even relevant. I don't have ultimate reason why homosexuality should be allowed, abortion should be allowed, or why I should be allowed to own a car or a home. I just think there are some unalienable rights. I want to own my home and my car. I don't want anyone to use them without my permission. If you think I don't have that right, and some complete stranger bureaucrat (completely uncorrupt
of course, not looking for his own interests) can have the right to decide how my home or car is used then fine, I cba. to debate about it with you.
Usually to answer those kind of questions we can use consequential ethics. For example if command economy leads to mass famines and grinding poverty, I don't accept it. Such a question is a scientific question and has been answered by economists.
Bold TextEven if the peoples of Africa had had, in recent decades, a real opportunity to achieve similar rates of economic growth as the developed countries, achieving such growth could not have helped them reduce their initial 30:1 disadvantage in per capita income.
Incorrect. Hong kong started somewhere near African development levels in 1950 (below some African countries) and reached the GDP per capita levels of its former host nation, United Kingdom.
GayAs nourishing as it is listening to someone justify children starving to death and dying from something as curable as diarrhea because the nation they happen to have been born in lacks a sufficiently high iq average to merit ethical consideration, it’s not actually a defence of the status quo.
Stop puttning words into my mouth. I'm not "defending" status quo neither am I "justifying their deaths". I'm stating that if the society is in order, you can reach high level of without any extra support. If you think Africa needs more redistribution (development aid) to fix their societies either withing or externally, then fine its your opinion. What is the debate here?
The fact I (or any medical doctors for that matter) do not have a complete cure to AIDS does not mean I’m trying “justify” their deaths. It is one thing to realize
there is a problem and another to
offer a solution. I wish mere gesture of empathy solves world’s problems but it
doesn’t. It probably gets you a lot of voters, like Tom here.
GayLike just about every prominent pro free market economist in the Anglosphere. And would you like to tell us what the Austrian solution to the issue of the whole CDO fraud thing is? Perhaps a dose of deregula…. Wait a second!
GayI’m saying mainstream economists thought that the economy was fine, despite the fact that it was riding on a bubble created by people lending money they didn’t have, to people who couldn’t pay it back.
Yes, there're all kinds of well reasoned opinions by different economists how much financial regulation there needs to be. But that doesn't make marxist economics really any better. You are like saying that because modern medicine does not have a cure to AIDS or some pandemic, homeopathy is just alright. If you think CDO's are the only reason for the crisis, you really are not on the field. All I know for certain is that the issue is incredibly complex and very credentialed academics can have have different opinions on what went wrong. Economists do not agree on the causes, and even less on cures (I mean even if we banned CDOs or whatever right now, the next economic will completely different like in the past they have).
Yes, Keynesians (left-wing economists) thought they had stopped business cycles in 1960's but were quickly proven wrong by stagflation. Economists who think they have stopped all business cycles are delusional. Also economists certainly know that you can create business cycle both by private or public means, history is full of examples of both.
GayAnd just to be clear here, the onus on you isn’t to show that government can be AS inefficient as xyz company, it is to show that it is more so to such a degree that allowing such wealth to be distributed into the hands of those who don’t need it is of such a net benefit to society, that it outweighs any wealth lost through alleged government inefficiency.
First of all, the onus isn't for
me to show anything. Really if you come around with your own climate stats and DIY research, if you think its
my job to prove climate change is happening, you are delusional.
And second of all, I wish there was some formula to show this, but unfortunately there is not. However I'll give you a more practical example. The world had suffered of famines and incredible low living standards for aeons (thousands of years). It wasn't
government who eradicted famines. It was the private market which
increased the productivity in agriculture making food affordable to everyone. In 1800's it took the whole family to work to just feed them, nevermind own computers. Nowadays food costs about 10% of average income, and would probably cost less if Africans could fairly compete like I explained before. Agricultural subsidies not only increase the price of food they also keep a lot of people poor.
Emergent order is a very, very powerful phenomenon. Take the most far-fetched example: our language. No government bureaucraut designed that yet its very complex (I know this because I'm doing language-related programming in my undergrad thesis, something Chomsky area). Language evolved by people who wanted to communicate with each other. No government bureaucraut designed ENSL. It was formed voluntarily by people who wanted to play NS together competitively.
Market economy is exactly the same thing. It was formed by people who wanted voluntarily trade their property with each other. First they started with some basic barter like simple items (clothes, ornaments) for food, then using some intermediary such as money, finally evolving into a complex market economy.
The reason market economy is so efficient, is because there're practically infinite
ways to reach
infinite ends and prices provide incentives to take use make the best use of the information available. Take the mouse in your hand, there's not a
single person on this world who could have done it. To make the plastic you needed a factory, to make the factory you need steel, to make the steel you need mining refinery, to make a refinery you needed design for example by software, to make software, you need computers, to make computers you need silicon, to make silicon et cetera. The market economy is incredibly complex not only in size but in time. All this emerged spontaenously by humans wanting to interact with each other, nobody designed that.
F.A. HayekThe curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.
The Fatal Conceit
GayAnd thus the golden road to progress begins. Except that in the real world it doesn’t.
Well first of all, the increase in productivity has been massive. The living standars in Western societies, even with their burdernsome governments (or welfare states), is just amazing compared to
anything in human history. The living standards are 100-150 times higher than they were before Indsturial Revolution. There is not even a scientific debate here. The increase in agircultural productivity is just massive.
GayIn the real world we have cartels, marketing budgets (in itself a horrendous waste of resources, but also having the undesirable effect of meeting its goal, which is to get us to waste money on useless fucking shit), repeated research by competing companies, and short term profit seeking resulting in all manner of negative consequences. And then when it comes to the important stuff, the stuff that needs a more dedicated investor with principles beyond making a quick return on their profit…. Well… We have the state sector for that don’t we.
Yet South Korean citizens are about 35 times richer than their North counterparts.
A lot of things can be said about cartels. Believe it or not, this is also a scientific question and the answers to that have not been found by either me or you, but by economists. There are some economists who think we fixing MS monopoly browser or media player market will be achieved by forcing MS to release an OS without a browser, a special product nobody bought, what a waste. Internetional competition means usually the profit margins hardly ever go above 30%, usually they hover below 10%.
Thanks to ads, for example Google can provide otherwise free services, but if people like you got into power they probably couldn't. You can start by banning political advertisements first.
Value investing is probably the biggest investing form, for example Warren Buffett has recommended value investing always more than short-term investing. In fact lots of savings accounts have 3, 5 or 10 year limits. For example my grandfather and uncle has bought forest that is going to pay off in maybe 20-30 years.
GayI’m saying mainstream economists thought that the economy was fine, despite the fact that it was riding on a bubble created by people lending money they didn’t have, to people who couldn’t pay it back.
First of all, it wasn't just "mainstream" economists, it was a lot of people. In fact, a lot of people
had to believe in the bubble, or it would have not happened. In fact the people who really predicted the crisis are very few and far between. Talk is cheap, but the people who actually put their money where their mouth is, are few. You could have made massive profits by long-term shorting. I doubt you were one of them.
I have made money by forecasting stock drops, and it takes foresight.
GayThe reason you aren’t going to win every argument concerning pub/pro play, is because pub players have a really good argument, which is that allowing high skill benefits can completely break pub games and make the game hugely unenjoyable for those who aren’t willing to dedicate hundreds of hours of game time to a computer game.
True, this is
a value question. There will always be
preferences underneath, it is unavoidable. Yet on average competitive players have better educated opinions because they understand mechanics of the system. For example I might have an opinion that SC2 is too hard to learn (I don't but thats not the point), but I realize I do not have competence to start stating what skills and mechanics should be in the game or not, because my innocent-sounding suggestions could break very meaningful skills in high-level games. However luckily I am
free to decide whether I like the game by buying or not buying it, instead of being
forced to support SC2 if it were
government subsidized game. If it were government-subsidized game, we would endlessly be debating how hard it should be instead of voting with our wallets. This happens with almost all "common goods"; when there is not a private owner, the usage of resource becomes a quarrel. It is also known as the tragedy of the commons.
I am not saying all public player opinions are bad like not all medical advice from amateurs is bad, but on the average experts have better educated opinions even if they disagree on
values. The contrast is of course much bigger in medicine but this is just to illustrate the point.
GayI’m talking about game theory and such being used as fundamental axioms from which deductive statements about economic reality can (allegedly) be derived.
This is not really true, because game theory is not used as some sort of axioms; it is used usually to conduct analysis on the subject. Especially in macroeconomics, it is more about building models that fit to the data (kind of like climate science), this is inductive science. Naturally lots of classical economists (like Austrians) had a beef with this because building mathematical models to describe human behaviour can really make a lot of misplaced conclusions, instead insisting that conomic analysis should be derived from axioms such as
marginal utility which describe human nature or reality, using deductive statements from valid premises.
GayYou’ve responded to my question asking you to clarify your position with a video that doesn’t directly seem to address what we we’re discussing. Can you elaborate on what you think’s particularly relevant here please. (I watched from 15:00 onwards)
He is a person who defected from Soviet Union, he saw the massive brain-washing going on. He saw lots of marxists being taught and then shot in Vietnam or whatever.
GayThere are obvious reasons why this doesn’t actually happen, whether it be overt corruption through campaign funding for politicians by the financial sector, or less overt corruption such as acquiescing to the business press agenda (Or specific interests i.e. Murdoch). But much more importantly is the simple fact that the political elite are ideologically beholden to whatever the academic consensus is. As you already stated, Marxism isn’t a part of the academic world anymore. And as such it isn’t a part of the political world. This isn’t a validation of the academic consensus, as you just suggested, but merely a reflection of it.
Economists both left and right (ie. Gregory Mankiw and Paul Krugman) have spoken for free tade, yet political leaders seem to do what they want. Economists have near consensus on some issues like
price controls and
free trade but that doesn't reflect the actual policies necessarily. Economists have very strong agreements against agricultural subsidies, yet they have been here for 200 years in almost. Democracy responds to incentives. You give voters what they want, and they vote you. Economics be damned. This is known as the area of
public choice theory.
GayRich countries cut their tariffs by less in the Uruguay Round than poor ones did. Since then, they have found new ways to close their markets, notably by imposing anti-dumping duties on imports they deem ‘unfairly cheap.’ Rich countries are particularly protectionist in many of the sectors where developing countries are best able to compete, such as agriculture, textiles, and clothing. As a result, according to a new study by Thomas Hertel, of Purdue University, and Will Martin, of the World Bank, rich countries’ average tariffs on manufacturing imports from poor countries are four times higher than those on imports from other rich countries. This imposes a big burden on poor countries. The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) estimates that they could export $700 billion more a year by 2005 if rich countries did more to open their markets. Poor countries are also hobbled by a lack of know-how. Many had little understanding of what they signed up to in the Uruguay Round. That ignorance is now costing them dear. Michael Finger of the World Bank and Philip Schuler of the University of Maryland estimate that implementing commitments to improve trade procedures and establish technical and intellectual-property standards can cost more than a year’s development budget for the poorest countries. Moreover, in those areas where poor countries could benefit from world trade rules, they are often unable to do so. … Of the WTO’s 134 members, 29 do not even have missions at its headquarters in Geneva. Many more can barely afford to bring cases to the WTO.15
I don't know where you took this from, but I agree completely, there should be no tariffs or any other kind of protectionism. Special interests like agricultural groups and other industries just leech special privileges from EU and governments. Atleast on national level, international competition forces them to change their policies. This is why I'm against EU. I'm for
decentralization of power, both with free markets but also in political systems. When the decision power is taken away from citizens to some federal agencies, citizens practically lose the little political power they had. There'll be no end to regulation when it is coming from EU. The political class in Brussels does
whatever it wants.
So yes I perhaps misstataed before that Africa's situation is only because of their domestic policies. It is not, EU's etc. subsidies play a role but naturally you still need to have your economy in order.
GaySo I’m the one asking unreasonable explanations from you? You started off by offering as a justification for your conflation, AN ENTIRE BOOK. I then asked you to respond to one, specific criticism, to which you’re now suggesting is a ridiculously unreasonable thing to do and that a sensible response is to suggest that I should respond to every criticism ever made about the topics of Marxism, Communism, and Socialism.
Fine I'll respond to your criticism. I was just kind of annoyed by previous replies which seemed like you wanted to find just any possible counter-argument and paste it there without having any will to seek the
truth in the first place.
First of all, that book contains famines and atrocities. Market economy does not cause any of these even though it is certainly possibly to run a more or less free market economy and dictators or political parties do whatever they like (like in China). Economic freedom tends to increase individual and political freedom as living standards rise and improved access to technology allows access to information (Internet, books et cetera) but it is not a pre-requisite for a market economy. Most western countries are completely free of any of these listed horrors in the Black Book of Communism. They're strongly correllated with communists states.
But what was wrong with your criticism (which is by Noam Chomsky, no surprise there) ? It tried to make a comparison between (the lack of) health care in India and China in 1980's. First of all India was horribly poor in 1960's (like Europe in 1800's),
the povery rate has been dropping and market reforms were made in 1980's. But the Black Book of Communism wasn't counting deaths due to health care or life expectancy. Even if North Koreans wouldn't suffer from famines (like they do now), their living standards are horrible and life expectancy is way below South Korea or any western countries. If we would integrate the area of life expectancy or somehow other way calculate the sum suffering of communistic countries, the death toll could go anywhere to hundreds of millions (which could possibly be compared to those of market economies). The book didn't do that. Just like Chernobyl, the immediate deaths were about 60, but the cancer etc. problems puts the figure on thousands. Even with the best intentions and intellectual honesty, calculating these numbers is very difficult because cancers and other health problems are not earmarked with "caused by Chernobyl".
GayYou might find your “takes a whole page” response requirements might abate somewhat if you manage to get over analogising every fucking thing in the world with the pains of justifying bhop to people with a social life. But seeing as you can’t stop making the analogy I might as well respond to it:
....
No, it’s not overrated, it’s the only way you actually convince people of things.
You really think debate is going to convince creationists of their stupid ideas? We can debate all we want, but sad truth is just some people are not either capable or willing to understand valid arguments. Some people know more about world mechanics than others. Not everyone can be Einstein or Friedman. A lot of political questions are
scientific in nature. Unlike you may think, most scientific research is done by peer-reviewed publishing not by debate by laymen.
Or put it in other words. The reason I am not debating a theoretical physicist on theoretical physics, claiming to know
better, is because I know fuck-all about theoretical physics (I know enough a lot of physics, for a science minor, but criticizing the whole academia would require deep mathematics and physics understanding, and peer-reviewed publications wouldn't hurt either).
GaySo I guess a more accurate statement for you originally to have made would have been something like: “Debate is a good way to learn, but now that I know everything, having to debate with people who disagree with me is overrated because they have a habit of not agreeing with me despite the fact that I know I’m right”
If you are interested in learning, I suggest you read some economics textbook. I would recommend G. Mankiw's books, but there is plenty to choose from. Catch me on sometimes and I can probably find you a book that fits your needs.
GayInform us that you are in fact an anarcho capitalist so that we can end the discussion with you safely labelled as insane.
Inform that you in fact a marxist so that we can end the discussion with you safely labelled as insane. See what I did there.
I'm not even an anarcho-capitalist, but atleast they can have the luxury of doubt. A lot of arguments for ancap can be made from basic economics to game theory, and to few historical examples (such as Not so Wild Wild West, a period which had only a single documented bank robbery!) World is however full of failed communist states.
I'm really doing this debate for the fun of it. The truth is that socialism is so inefficient that international competition is going to make sure even if we ever end up with any socialist experiment in the West, it is going to very short-lived. Most communist states have collapsed and are likely to collapse by themselves. Besides, the legacy of communism makes sure it is not going to happen. You can go on to East-Europe to educate them about the wonders of the socialist experiment.